Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers and urban drainage systems in Belgium

Reports

Downloads:

• CCI-HYDR Summary report Phase 1: Literature review and development of climate change scenarios (April 2008)
  
• CCI-HYDR Summary report Phase 2: Climate change impact analysis on river and urban drainage hydrology and hydraulics (December 2010)
  
CCI-HYDR Detailed technical reports:

• Technical report I. Literature review
  
• Technical report II. Study of rainfall and ETo climate change scenarios
  
• Technical report IIb. Extension of CCI-HYDR climate change scenarios for INBO
  
• Technical report III. Statistical analysis of historical rainfall, ETo and river flow series trends and cycles
  
CCI-HYDR Perturbation Tool: A climate change tool for generating perturbed time series for the Belgian climate:

• Perturbation Tool manual
  
• Perturbation Tool (Excel workbook)
  

Papers:

• Ntegeka V., Willems P., Roulin E., Baguis P. (2011), 'Developing tailored climate change scenarios for hydrological impact assessments', Journal of Hydrology, in revision
  
• Willems, P., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Olsson, J., Nguyen, V.T.V. (2011), 'Climate change impact assessment on urban rainfall extremes and urban drainage: methods and shortcomings', Atmospheric Research, 103, 106-118, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.003
  
• Willems P., Vrac M. (2011), 'Statistical precipitation downscaling for small-scale hydrological impact investigations of climate change', Journal of Hydrology, 402, 193-205; 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.02.030
  
• Baguis P., Roulin E., Willems P., Ntegeka V. (2010), 'Climate change and hydrological extremes in Belgian catchments', Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 7, 5033-5078; doi:10.5194/hessd-7-5033-2010
  
• Baguis P., Roulin E., Willems P., Ntegeka V. (2009), 'Climate change scenarios for precipitation and potential evapotranspiration over central Belgium', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99(3-4), 273-286; doi 10.1007/s00704-009-0146-5
  
• Ntegeka, V., Willems, P. (2008). Trends and multidecadal oscillations in rainfall extremes, based on a more than 100 years time series of 10 minutes rainfall intensities at Uccle, Belgium, Water Resources Research, 44, W07402, doi:10.1029/2007WR006471
  
• Willems P., Staes J., Meire P. (2010), 'Impact of climate change on river hydrology and ecology: case study for interdisciplinary policy oriented research', HydroPredict2010: 2nd International Interdisciplinary Conference on Predictions for Hydrology, Ecology, and Water Resources Management: Changes and Hazards caused by Direct Human Interventions and Climate Change, Prague, Czech Republic, 20 - 23 September 2010; volume of abstracts, abstract 61, p. 22; CD-Rom proceedings (ed. Jiri Bruthans, Charles University, Prague), 13 p.: keynote lecture
  
• Willems, P., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Olsson, J., Nguyen, V.T.V. (2009), 'Climate change impact assessment on urban rainfall extremes and urban drainage: methodologies and difficulties', In: Rainfall in the urban context: forecasting, risk and climate change (Eds. P.Molnar, P.Burlando & T.Einfalt), 8th International Workshop on Precipitation in Urban Areas - Rainfall in the urban context: forecasting, risk and climate change, St.Moritz, December 2009, CD-ROM Proceedings, ISBN: 978-3-909386-27-7, 149-154
  
• Boukhris O., Willems P. (2008), 'Climate change impact on the hydrology in highly urbanized Belgian areas', International Conference on 'Water & Urban Development Paradigms', Leuven, 15-17 September 2008
  
• Boukhris O., Willems P. (2008), 'Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers in Belgium', FloodRisk 2008 Conference, 30 Sept. - 2 Oct. 2008, Oxford, UK
  
• Boukhris O. (2008), 'Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers in Flanders', PhD in Engineering, K.U.Leuven, 26 August 2008
  

The CCI-HYDR climate scenarios are currently used in several other regional research projects (for impact analysis in the Scheldt Estuary, to revise urban drainage design guidelines, for impact analysis on flood risks along rivers, for low flow analysis, for ecological impact analysis, in an EU education project, etc.). See Related reports end users for more information about this.

The methodology behind the CCI-HYDR climate scenarios is currently applied by several PhD researchers in support of the development of climate scenarios for different regions of the world:

<back>