In recent years more and more river models
are built in Flanders for the assessment of extreme
flow and flooding. Detailed hydrodynamic models are
built, while the rainfall runoff
is modelled in a conceptual way. This makes long term
simulations (i.e. multiple decades) possible for the
runoff model. From these long term simulations a best
selection can be made of critical events for river simulations.
However, when a simplified river model is calibrated
to the detailed hydrodynamic model, also long term simulations
for the river can be carried out. The use of long term
simulations enables the modeller to assess the probability
of the extreme events more accurately.
In a river catchment with important urban development,
combined sewer overflows may have an important impact
on the river discharges. The runoff in an urban catchment
however cannot be modelled accurately using the rainfall
runoff model for the river basin. The responses of the
rural and urban catchments differ strongly. For that
reason a separate model can be used to predict the combined
sewer overflow discharges and use this as point input
in the river model. In this way the impact of combined
sewer overflows can be investigated and a better estimation
of the extreme discharges can be made. When a detailed
hydrodynamic model is used for the combined sewer system,
the calculation times are very long, certainly in case
of long term simulations. With a physically based conceptual
model that is well-calibrated to the detailed hydrodynamic
model, simulation results with almost the same accuracy
can be obtained within a fraction of the calculation
time.
This approach is tested for the Molenbeek brook in Belgium.
For the current and future sewer system state, a set
of (non-linear) reservoir models
is built (calibrated against an existing detailed hydrodynamic
model) and the effect of the emissions on the discharges
in the river is investigated. Especially the summer
discharges can be estimated more accurately with this
approach. From this project it can be concluded that
not the models (even not the simplified ones) cause
the largest uncertainty on the results, but the (temporal
and especially the spatial) variability of the rainfall.
For that reason it is important to perform long term
simulations using appropriate rainfall input. Simplified
conceptual models then have to be used for the simulation
of the sewer system. These conceptual models can be
calibrated accurately to the (existing) detailed sewer
system models and used in a complementary way to these
detailed models.
This research was funded by Aminal
Water.
Full paper 'The use of reservoir models
for the assessment of the input from combined sewer
overflows into river models' (2002) at 9th International
Conference on Urban Drainage, Portland, US.